The vaccines against covid-19 have already avoided, since January, some 2,500 deaths in Catalonia. In other words, without the drugs from Pfizer, Moderna, Janssen and AstraZeneca, there would be up to seven times more deaths per day than there are now. If this Sunday, the Ministry of Health has reported 26 deaths, without the vaccine it would have reported approximately 200.
The 14-day incidence finally drops to a thousand, but covid income rises again
This has been explained by Clara Prats, researcher at the Computational Biology and Complex Systems Group (Biocomsc) of the UPC in the ‘Via Lliure’ program of Rac-1. Prats has assured that, without the drug, right now there would be about 1,200 people in ucis (this Sunday there are 567 in all of Catalonia), very close to the peak of the first wave, when there were about 1,500.
Thus, according to Biocomsc calculations, vaccines have saved the health system more than 26,000 days of occupation in the ucis and 128,000 days of hospitalization in the plant.
According to Prats, in addition, “the closure of nightlife and the curfew are helping a lot in the decrease in cases.” Catalonia continues with very high epidemiological indicators, but they have been falling for days.
“We are going in the right direction,” said the Biocomsc researcher, although she clarified that the incidence is still very high and, at the moment, about 1% of Catalans are potentially contagious.
In his opinion, these restrictions should be extended for a few more weeks. “It would be advisable to extend the night confinement for a few more weeks,” he said.