The Catalans will have a new appointment with the polls in July if on May 26 there is no president of the Generalitat, and today no candidate has the necessary support to be one.
The one with the most options is still Pere Aragonès, but he requires the support of the CUP, En Comú Podem and at least four deputies from Junts per Catalunya, who with the passing of days and the breakdown of negotiations by ERC to form The coalition government has raised its demands to support the investiture of the now acting vice president with the functions of president, following the disqualification of Quim Torra in September.
85 days have passed since the regional elections of February 14 and more than 200 since the Catalan Executive took office due to the dismissal of Torra, but the blow on the table of Aragonès last Saturday before the claims of control of Junts per Catalunya and Carles Puigdemont from Belgium have returned the negotiations to the starting point, now not to look for government partners, but for an investiture that must be agreed against the clock, which brings the possibilities of electoral repetition closer.
At a time when nothing is certain but everything is possible, there could even be surprises and a reconciliation between Republicans and neo-convergents, given how much Junts has to lose with their departure from the Government , with hundreds of positions of trust in Game.
Without forgetting the punishment that both pro-independence formations could receive at the polls by the electorate in favor of the secession of Catalonia, with a failure to lead the Generalitat precisely after the first elections in which the breakthrough vote exceeded the milestone of 50% of the total. of the votes, which means wasting a historic opportunity for the defenders of the procés .
However, the tacticism of the political formations can also have the opposite effect, and opt for a return to the polls if their internal polls point to an improvement in the results, taking into account that the difference between ERC and Junts is only one seat, and that the Republicans tied in seats with the PSC, although the Socialists obtained more votes.
Junts approaches the electoral repetition after the ERC establishment
For now, Podemos has put to work to support the investiture of Aragonès, who was already saved by the 2020 Generalitat Budgets after three years of extended accounts.
They are willing to vote in favor of a solo ERC government, although they would prefer that there were also a purple percentage in the Generalitat, but their red line is that the Junts are not part of the Catalan Executive, a veto that was highly displeasing to the one that was the third force in the February elections, with 32 seats, compared to 8 for the commons.
In any case, the alliance between ERC and En Comú Podem will not be quick, since yesterday they formed working groups on the key programmatic axes of the political agenda with Spain and economic and social recovery, which must also be compatible with the agreement that ERC caught up with the CUP after the elections, and that also irritated Junts.
The PSC is out of the game because it is not willing to offer its support to Aragonès, Salvador Illa being the one who obtained the most votes, but neither has he obtained support for the new Catalan president to be a socialist, which would require the approval of ERC and Podemos. Thus the things, the last word has it Junts, that deals with internal differences.